Analysis / MicrofeatureChina Is Growing Old Before It Becomes Rich: Does It Matter? Sep 21, 2023Qin (Maya) Mei, Scott Kennedy and Ilaria Mazzocco China’s Demographic Difficulties In 2022, after six consecutive years of declining birth rates, China recorded its first annual population decline since the early 1960s. According to a forecast by the United Nations, China’s population is set to fall from 1.426 billion in 2022 to 1.313 billion in 2050 and drop below 800 million by 2100…. Demographics, Economics, Education
Analysis / FeatureMeasurement Muddle: China’s GDP Growth Data and Potential Proxies Sep 13, 2023Scott Kennedy and Qin (Maya) Mei How Do We Know if China is Growing? How fast is China’s economy growing? Or given the recent trends, how much is it slowing down? Obtaining a reliable answer to these seemingly straightforward questions has proved amazingly elusive. Despite the production of mountains of official data and a plethora of unofficial estimates, these are questions… Economics, Trade
EventMeasurement Problems: China’s GDP Growth Data and Potential Proxies Jul. 05, 2023 | 9:00 AM EDT In this event on July 5 at 9 a.m. EDT, the CSIS Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and Economics and the Stanford Center on China’s Economy and Institutions (SCCEI) present their latest Big Data China publication. The feature evaluates the efficacy of China’s official GDP growth data and potential alternative proxies. Based on interviews with over a dozen economists and collection of a…
Analysis / MicrofeatureChinese State Media Abroad: More Effective than Expected Mar 16, 2023Ilaria Mazzocco Over the past two decades, China has become an increasingly active and important international actor. The country is a global power on the diplomatic stage and increasing numbers of Chinese citizens, businesses, and government officials are shaping China’s image abroad. However, Chinese leaders may be discovering that global influence does not always correlate with popularity…. Public Opinion, soft power, US-China Competition
Analysis / FeatureCan Chinese Firms Be Truly Private? Feb 7, 2023Scott Kennedy and Ilaria Mazzocco As China’s economy moved away from state planning and policymakers introduced market reforms in the 1980s and 1990s, many observers expected that in addition to promoting the growth of the Chinese economy, privatization would also have substantial political implications. Most importantly, it was thought that the rise of the private sector could lead to the… Economics, National Security, US-China Competition
Analysis / MicrofeatureGovernance by Data: How China’s Party-State Keeps Its Pulse on the People Dec 21, 2022Ilaria Mazzocco The 20th Party Congress in Beijing in November highlighted just how much power Xi Jinping and his closest allies have concentrated in their hands. Control is more centralized than ever, and surveillance is ubiquitous in China. While these trends have consolidated the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) power and further reduced public opposition, such a system… Chinese Politics, Public Opinion